Model finds 3 opportunities across 15 edges.
April 8, 2026 · Updated 2026-04-08T15:01:06.321885Z
Observation
The model reviewed 15 MLB games on April 8, 2026 and found 10 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 3 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.
Slate Result
-1.0u
Net · 0-1-0
+0.0
CLV Held
13 / 15
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
13 of 15
2 of 15
Top Edge · Settled
Seattle Mariners -1.5
4.5%+
Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers · SEA 0, TEX 3
Model: -2.1
·
Close: 1.5
·
CLV: +0.0
Loss · -1.0u
Variance is the cost of doing business. CLV held against close.
Edge Map
SD @ PIT
-6.0%
Final SD 8-2 PIT
KC @ CLE
-6.0%
Final KC 2-10 CLE
SEA @ TEX
-6.0%
-1.0u
HOU @ COL
+6.0%
Final HOU 1-9 COL
PHI @ SF
-6.0%
Final PHI 0-5 SF
STL @ WAS
-6.0%
Final STL 6-1 WAS
ATL @ LAA
-6.0%
Final ATL 8-2 LAA
OAK @ NYY
-6.0%
Final OAK 3-2 NYY
CHC @ TB
-6.0%
Final CHC 6-2 TB
DET @ MIN
-4.5%
Final DET 6-8 MIN
LAD @ TOR
-3.3%
Final LAD 3-4 TOR
BAL @ CHW
+2.4%
Final BAL 5-3 CHW
ARI @ NYM
-2.7%
Final ARI 7-2 NYM
MIL @ BOS
-3.4%
Final MIL 0-5 BOS
CIN @ MIA
-4.1%
Final CIN 4-7 MIA
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 2 of 15 settled games.
BAL @ CHW
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
ARI @ NYM
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
ATL @ LAA
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
CHC @ TB
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
CIN @ MIA
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
DET @ MIN
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
Near Misses
San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
Wrong side tonight. The record shows it because the record shows everything.
Sharp Principle
Wins that missed the close get audited too.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›