Games the Model Passed On | April 12, 2026
SharpPicks passed on 11 of 15 MLB games on April 12, 2026. None of these matchups produced enough projected value to justify an official signal.
Analyzed
15
Passed
11
73%
Edge band
Below 2%
of passed games
Passed Games
LAA @ CIN · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
BOS @ STL · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
NYY @ TB · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
OAK @ NYM · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
MIA @ DET · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
CHW @ KC · 1.5
No measurable edge.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
HOU @ SEA · 1.5
No measurable edge.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
ARI @ PHI · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
MIN @ TOR · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
PIT @ CHC · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
TEX @ LAD · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
Passing is a decision, not an absence of one. These games remained below the level required for official publication.
Early-season MLB pass rates tend to run higher (85-90%) because the model requires stable pitching, bullpen, and lineup data before generating high-confidence edges.
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Most games never qualify.
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