Games the Model Passed On | April 14, 2026
Passing is part of the system. On April 14, 2026, 5 of 15 MLB games remained below the qualification threshold and were excluded from the official signal layer.
Analyzed
15
Passed
5
33%
Edge band
Below 2%
of passed games
Passed Games
TEX @ OAK · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
LAA @ NYY · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
MIA @ ATL · 1.5
No measurable edge.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
CHC @ PHI · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
ARI @ BAL · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.
Early-season MLB pass rates tend to run higher (85-90%) because the model requires stable pitching, bullpen, and lineup data before generating high-confidence edges.
Related
ReportFull Market Report Apr 14›
ReadWhy We Pass More Than We Play›
EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings›
TeamTexas Rangers Insights›
TeamLos Angeles Angels Insights›
WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary›
Most games never qualify.
Get notified when one actually does. Selectivity is the system.
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