Games the Model Passed On | April 18, 2026
Most of the slate stayed inside efficient pricing ranges. As a result, 9 games were logged as passes rather than forced into action.
Analyzed
15
Passed
9
60%
Edge band
Below 2%
of passed games
Passed Games
TB @ PIT · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
CHW @ OAK · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
KC @ NYY · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
CIN @ MIN · 1.5
No measurable edge.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
LAD @ COL · -1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
STL @ HOU · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
TEX @ SEA · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
BAL @ CLE · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
ATL @ PHI · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.
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Most games never qualify.
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