Market Reports / April 18, 2026

MLB Market Report | April 18, 2026

15 games analyzed 6 signals MEI: 66

This slate produced a market efficiency score of 66, signaling a active environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.

MEI
66
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
NYM @ CHC
Density
40.0%
6 of 15
Passed
9
of 15
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
New York Mets -1.5
NYM @ CHC
Market
-1.5
Model
-2.2
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
NYM @ CHC -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
SF @ WAS -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
DET @ BOS -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
MIL @ MIA -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
TOR @ ARI 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
SD @ LAA -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
TB @ PIT 1.5 Below 2% PASS
CHW @ OAK 1.5 Below 2% PASS
KC @ NYY 1.5 Below 2% PASS
CIN @ MIN 1.5 Below 2% PASS
LAD @ COL -1.5 Below 2% PASS
STL @ HOU 1.5 Below 2% PASS
TEX @ SEA 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
BAL @ CLE 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
ATL @ PHI 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
Line Movement
Kansas City Royals @ New York Yankees -8.0 pp away
Cincinnati Reds @ Minnesota Twins +7.3 pp toward model
Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox +4.6 pp toward model
Baltimore Orioles @ Cleveland Guardians -1.9 pp away
St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros +1.1 pp toward model
Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies +1.7 pp toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
3-4
CLV beat
4 of 7

The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 9 games like these that you do not play.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
← Previous report Next report →
Apr 13 Apr 14 Apr 15 Apr 16 Apr 17 Apr 18 Apr 19
Related
Passes9 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameNYM @ CHC› GameSF @ WAS› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnBeginner's Guide to Sports Betting› TonightHow the slate played out: MLB evening edition›

Only the signal layer is hidden.

Full model output. Live alerts. Bet tracking. One pick beats five.

Claim Founding Spot