Market Reports / April 13, 2026

MLB Market Report | April 13, 2026

10 games analyzed 8 signals MEI: 77

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 8 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

MEI
77
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
WAS @ PIT
Density
80.0%
8 of 10
Passed
2
of 10
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Washington Nationals +1.5
WAS @ PIT
Market
1.5
Model
-0.9
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

Most games never become signals. That is usually a sign of market efficiency, not a missed opportunity.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
WAS @ PIT 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
LAA @ NYY 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
HOU @ SEA 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
CHC @ PHI 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
BOS @ MIN -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
CLE @ STL -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
TEX @ OAK -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
NYM @ LAD 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
MIA @ ATL 1.5 Below 2% PASS
ARI @ BAL 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
Line Movement
Washington Nationals @ Pittsburgh Pirates +2.3 pp toward model
Los Angeles Angels @ New York Yankees -0.7 pp away
Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves -1.7 pp away
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Baltimore Orioles No movement
Chicago Cubs @ Philadelphia Phillies +0.1 pp toward model
Boston Red Sox @ Minnesota Twins No movement
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
3-4
CLV beat
2 of 7

Most bettors would have played 3 to 5 games on this slate. SharpPicks found 8. The gap between those two numbers is where edge lives.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes2 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameWAS @ PIT› GameLAA @ NYY› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnEdge Calculator›

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