Games the Model Passed On | May 3, 2026
Passing is part of the system. On May 3, 2026, 10 of 15 MLB games remained below the qualification threshold and were excluded from the official signal layer.
Analyzed
15
Passed
10
67%
Edge band
Below 2%
of passed games
Passed Games
TOR @ MIN · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
CIN @ PIT · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
PHI @ MIA · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
NYM @ LAA · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
TEX @ DET · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
ATL @ COL · -1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
ARI @ CHC · 1.5
No measurable edge.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
LAD @ STL · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
MIL @ WAS · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
CLE @ OAK · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
Most games never become signals. That is usually a sign of market efficiency, not a missed opportunity.
Early-season MLB pass rates tend to run higher (85-90%) because the model requires stable pitching, bullpen, and lineup data before generating high-confidence edges.
Related
ReportFull Market Report May 3›
ReadWhy We Pass More Than We Play›
EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings›
TeamCleveland Guardians Insights›
TeamMilwaukee Brewers Insights›
WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary›
Most games never qualify.
Get notified when one actually does. Selectivity is the system.
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