Games the Model Passed On May 4, 2026 | SharpPicks

SharpPicks passed on 8 of 12 MLB games on May 4, 2026. None of these matchups produced enough projected value to justify an official signal.

Analyzed

12

Passed

8

67%

Edge band

2 to 3.4%

of passed games

Passed Games

PHI @ MIA · -1.5 FILTERED

Filtered by confidence or validation checks.

Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered

MIL @ STL · -1.5 FILTERED

Filtered by confidence or validation checks.

Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered

TOR @ TB · -1.5 FILTERED

Filtered by confidence or validation checks.

Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered

SD @ SF · -1.5 FILTERED

Filtered by confidence or validation checks.

Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered

BOS @ DET · 1.5 FILTERED

Filtered by confidence or validation checks.

Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered

CHW @ LAA · 1.5

Near threshold but not qualified.

Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass

NYM @ COL · 1.5 FILTERED

Filtered by confidence or validation checks.

Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered

ATL @ SEA · 1.5 FILTERED

Filtered by confidence or validation checks.

Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered

SharpPicks treats discipline as part of the edge. When projected value stays below the qualification line, the game is logged as a pass rather than forced into action.

Early-season MLB pass rates tend to run higher (85-90%) because the model requires stable pitching, bullpen, and lineup data before generating high-confidence edges.

Related

ReportFull Market Report May 4› ReadWhy We Pass More Than We Play› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› TeamAtlanta Braves Insights› TeamPhiladelphia Phillies Insights› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary›

Most games never qualify.

Get notified when one actually does. Selectivity is the system.

Claim Founding Spot