Pass Reports / May 5, 2026

Games the Model Passed On | May 5, 2026

13 of 15 MLB games passed May 5, 2026

Passing is part of the system. On May 5, 2026, 13 of 15 MLB games remained below the qualification threshold and were excluded from the official signal layer.

Analyzed
15
Passed
13
87%
Edge band
2 to 3.4%
of passed games
Passed Games
MIN @ WAS · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
CLE @ KC · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
MIL @ STL · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
LAD @ HOU · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
OAK @ PHI · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
BOS @ DET · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
CIN @ CHC · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
ATL @ SEA · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
SD @ SF · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
TOR @ TB · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
BAL @ MIA · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
PIT @ ARI · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
CHW @ LAA · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered

Efficient markets create fewer mistakes to exploit. On slates like this one, the strongest move is often restraint.

Early-season MLB pass rates tend to run higher (85-90%) because the model requires stable pitching, bullpen, and lineup data before generating high-confidence edges.

Related
ReportFull Market Report May 5› ReadWhy We Pass More Than We Play› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› TeamChicago White Sox Insights› TeamPittsburgh Pirates Insights› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary›

Most games never qualify.

Get notified when one actually does. Selectivity is the system.

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