Games the Model Passed On | May 6, 2026
Passing is part of the system. On May 6, 2026, 13 of 15 MLB games remained below the qualification threshold and were excluded from the official signal layer.
Analyzed
15
Passed
13
87%
Edge band
2 to 3.4%
of passed games
Passed Games
LAD @ HOU · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
SD @ SF · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
MIL @ STL · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
MIN @ WAS · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
NYM @ COL · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
CIN @ CHC · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
OAK @ PHI · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
TOR @ TB · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
ATL @ SEA · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
CLE @ KC · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
BAL @ MIA · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
CHW @ LAA · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
BOS @ DET · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.
Early-season MLB pass rates tend to run higher (85-90%) because the model requires stable pitching, bullpen, and lineup data before generating high-confidence edges.
Related
ReportFull Market Report May 6›
ReadWhy We Pass More Than We Play›
EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings›
TeamChicago White Sox Insights›
TeamBoston Red Sox Insights›
WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary›
Most games never qualify.
Get notified when one actually does. Selectivity is the system.
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