Market Reports / May 6, 2026

MLB Market Report | May 6, 2026

15 games analyzed 2 signals MEI: 69

This slate produced a market efficiency score of 69, signaling a active environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.

MEI
69
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
CHW @ LAA
Density
13.0%
2 of 15
Passed
13
of 15
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Texas Rangers +1.5
TEX @ NYY
Market
1.5
Model
0.4
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

SharpPicks treats discipline as part of the edge. When projected value stays below the qualification line, the game is logged as a pass rather than forced into action.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
LAD @ HOU 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SD @ SF -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
TEX @ NYY 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
PIT @ ARI -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
MIL @ STL -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIN @ WAS -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
NYM @ COL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CIN @ CHC 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
OAK @ PHI 1.5 Below 2% PASS
TOR @ TB 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
ATL @ SEA 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
CLE @ KC 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
BAL @ MIA 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CHW @ LAA 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
BOS @ DET 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants -3.5 pp away
Atlanta Braves @ Seattle Mariners -14.2 pp away
Athletics @ Philadelphia Phillies -0.7 pp away
Baltimore Orioles @ Miami Marlins -1.2 pp away
Minnesota Twins @ Washington Nationals -2.2 pp away
Texas Rangers @ New York Yankees +0.5 pp toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
3-4
CLV beat
1 of 7

The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 13 games like these that you do not play.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes13 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameCHW @ LAA› GameBOS @ DET› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnEdge Calculator›

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