Market Reports / May 7, 2026

MLB Market Report | May 7, 2026

10 games analyzed 2 signals MEI: 64

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 6 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

MEI
64
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
OAK @ PHI
Density
20.0%
2 of 10
Passed
8
of 10
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Cincinnati Reds +1.5
CIN @ CHC
Market
1.5
Model
0.3
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
MIN @ WAS -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CIN @ CHC 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
PIT @ ARI -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
BAL @ MIA 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
TB @ BOS -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
STL @ SD 1.5 Below 2% PASS
CLE @ KC 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
TEX @ NYY 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
NYM @ COL 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
OAK @ PHI 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Texas Rangers @ New York Yankees +18.5 pp toward model
Minnesota Twins @ Washington Nationals +19.7 pp toward model
Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals +4.4 pp toward model
Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs +0.5 pp toward model
New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies -0.8 pp away
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Arizona Diamondbacks -2.3 pp away
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
3-4
CLV beat
1 of 7

Every passed game on this slate represents capital preserved. Over a season, the passes matter more than the signals.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
← Previous report Next report →
May 4 May 5 May 6 May 7 May 8 May 9 May 10
Related
Passes8 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameOAK @ PHI› GameMIN @ WAS› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnEdge Calculator› TonightHow the slate played out: MLB evening edition›

Only the signal layer is hidden.

Full model output. Live alerts. Bet tracking. One pick beats five.

Claim Founding Spot