Market Reports / May 10, 2026

MLB Market Report | May 10, 2026

15 games analyzed 2 signals MEI: 66

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 12 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

MEI
66
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
OAK @ BAL
Density
13.0%
2 of 15
Passed
13
of 15
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Colorado Rockies +1.5
COL @ PHI
Market
1.5
Model
0.6
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

SharpPicks treats discipline as part of the edge. When projected value stays below the qualification line, the game is logged as a pass rather than forced into action.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
COL @ PHI 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
LAA @ TOR -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SEA @ CHW -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
NYY @ MIL -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CHC @ TEX 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
PIT @ SF -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
NYM @ ARI -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
HOU @ CIN -1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
MIN @ CLE 1.5 Below 2% PASS
TB @ BOS 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
ATL @ LAD 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
STL @ SD 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
WAS @ MIA 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
DET @ KC 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
OAK @ BAL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins +1.5 pp toward model
Athletics @ Baltimore Orioles -0.5 pp away
Colorado Rockies @ Philadelphia Phillies +0.6 pp toward model
Los Angeles Angels @ Toronto Blue Jays -0.5 pp away
Seattle Mariners @ Chicago White Sox +1.1 pp toward model
New York Yankees @ Milwaukee Brewers +0.2 pp toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
3-4
CLV beat
1 of 7

This slate had 15 games. A typical bettor might scan all of them and find reasons to play half. SharpPicks qualified 2. Selectivity compounds.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes13 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameOAK @ BAL› GameCOL @ PHI› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnEdge Calculator› TonightHow the slate played out: MLB evening edition›

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