Model finds 2 opportunities across 14 edges.
May 10, 2026 · Updated 2026-05-10T15:00:16.884257Z
Observation
The model reviewed 15 MLB games on May 10, 2026 and found 12 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 2 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.
Slate Result
-1.0u
Net · 0-1-0
+0.0
CLV Held
14 / 15
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
14 of 15
1 of 15
Top Edge · Settled
Colorado Rockies +1.5
4.5%+
Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies · COL 0, PHI 6
Model: 0.6
·
Close: -1.5
·
CLV: +0.0
Loss · -1.0u
Variance is the cost of doing business. CLV held against close.
Edge Map
COL @ PHI
-6.0%
-1.0u
LAA @ TOR
-6.0%
Final LAA 6-1 TOR
SEA @ CHW
-6.0%
Final SEA 1-2 CHW
NYY @ MIL
-6.0%
Final NYY 3-4 MIL
CHC @ TEX
-6.0%
Final CHC 0-3 TEX
PIT @ SF
-6.0%
Final PIT 6-7 SF
NYM @ ARI
-6.0%
Final NYM 1-5 ARI
HOU @ CIN
-4.4%
Final HOU 0-5 CIN
MIN @ CLE
-1.9%
Final MIN 5-4 CLE
TB @ BOS
-3.5%
Final TB 4-1 BOS
ATL @ LAD
-4.7%
Final ATL 7-2 LAD
STL @ SD
-5.0%
Final STL 2-3 SD
WAS @ MIA
-5.0%
Final WAS 2-5 MIA
DET @ KC
-6.0%
Final DET 6-3 KC
OAK @ BAL
+8.8%
Final OAK 1-2 BAL
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 1 of 15 settled games.
OAK @ BAL
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
ATL @ LAD
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
CHC @ TEX
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
COL @ PHI
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
DET @ KC
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
HOU @ CIN
Open: -1.5
·
Close: +1.5
Near Misses
Oakland Athletics vs Baltimore Orioles
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Los Angeles Angels vs Toronto Blue Jays
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
A miss on both axes. The ledger takes it as it is.
Sharp Principle
The close is the referee.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›