MLB Market Report | May 8, 2026
This slate produced a market efficiency score of 62, signaling a active environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.
MEI
62
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
NYM @ ARI
Density
0.0%
0 of 15
Passed
15
of 15
Signal
No Signal Today
Full slate passed
Most games never become signals. That is usually a sign of market efficiency, not a missed opportunity.
Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
SEA @ CHW
-1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
NYY @ MIL
-1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
ATL @ LAD
-1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
PIT @ SF
-1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
COL @ PHI
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
LAA @ TOR
1.5
2 to 3.4%
PASS
TB @ BOS
1.5
3.5 to 4.4%
FILTERED
DET @ KC
1.5
3.5 to 4.4%
FILTERED
HOU @ CIN
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
MIN @ CLE
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
WAS @ MIA
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
STL @ SD
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
OAK @ BAL
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
CHC @ TEX
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
NYM @ ARI
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
Line Movement
Houston Astros @ Cincinnati Reds
+0.8 pp toward model
Colorado Rockies @ Philadelphia Phillies
No movement
Athletics @ Baltimore Orioles
-0.2 pp away
Los Angeles Angels @ Toronto Blue Jays
+0.3 pp toward model
Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox
+0.9 pp toward model
Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins
-2.4 pp away
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
2-5
CLV beat
0 of 7
The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 15 games like these that you do not play.
Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
Related
Passes15 games the model passed on›
EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings›
GameNYM @ ARI›
GameCHC @ TEX›
WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary›
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