Games the Model Passed On | May 9, 2026
SharpPicks passed on 14 of 15 MLB games on May 9, 2026. None of these matchups produced enough projected value to justify an official signal.
Analyzed
15
Passed
14
93%
Edge band
2 to 3.4%
of passed games
Passed Games
MIN @ CLE · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
CHC @ TEX · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
NYM @ ARI · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
PIT @ SF · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
LAA @ TOR · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
ATL @ LAD · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
COL @ PHI · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
HOU @ CIN · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
WAS @ MIA · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
DET @ KC · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
TB @ BOS · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
STL @ SD · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
SEA @ CHW · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
NYY @ MIL · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.
Early-season MLB pass rates tend to run higher (85-90%) because the model requires stable pitching, bullpen, and lineup data before generating high-confidence edges.
Related
ReportFull Market Report May 9›
ReadWhy We Pass More Than We Play›
EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings›
TeamNew York Yankees Insights›
TeamSeattle Mariners Insights›
WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary›
Most games never qualify.
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