Games the Model Passed On | May 11, 2026
Passing is part of the system. On May 11, 2026, 5 of 6 MLB games remained below the qualification threshold and were excluded from the official signal layer.
Analyzed
6
Passed
5
83%
Edge band
2 to 3.4%
of passed games
Passed Games
SF @ LAD · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
NYY @ BAL · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
LAA @ CLE · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
SEA @ HOU · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
ARI @ TEX · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
Most games never become signals. That is usually a sign of market efficiency, not a missed opportunity.
Early-season MLB pass rates tend to run higher (85-90%) because the model requires stable pitching, bullpen, and lineup data before generating high-confidence edges.
Related
ReportFull Market Report May 11›
ReadWhy We Pass More Than We Play›
EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings›
TeamArizona Diamondbacks Insights›
TeamSeattle Mariners Insights›
WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary›
Most games never qualify.
Get notified when one actually does. Selectivity is the system.
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