Pass Reports / May 12, 2026

Games the Model Passed On | May 12, 2026

13 of 15 MLB games passed May 12, 2026

Most of the slate stayed inside efficient pricing ranges. As a result, 13 games were logged as passes rather than forced into action.

Analyzed
15
Passed
13
87%
Edge band
Below 2%
of passed games
Passed Games
TB @ TOR · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
CHC @ ATL · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
KC @ CHW · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
SEA @ HOU · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
NYY @ BAL · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
STL @ OAK · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
LAA @ CLE · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
SD @ MIL · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
WAS @ CIN · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
DET @ NYM · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
ARI @ TEX · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
PHI @ BOS · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
MIA @ MIN · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered

Most games never become signals. That is usually a sign of market efficiency, not a missed opportunity.

Early-season MLB pass rates tend to run higher (85-90%) because the model requires stable pitching, bullpen, and lineup data before generating high-confidence edges.

Related
ReportFull Market Report May 12› ReadWhy We Pass More Than We Play› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› TeamMiami Marlins Insights› TeamTampa Bay Rays Insights› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary›

Most games never qualify.

Get notified when one actually does. Selectivity is the system.

Claim Founding Spot