Games the Model Passed On | May 15, 2026
SharpPicks passed on 11 of 15 MLB games on May 15, 2026. None of these matchups produced enough projected value to justify an official signal.
Analyzed
15
Passed
11
73%
Edge band
2 to 3.4%
of passed games
Passed Games
TOR @ DET · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
TEX @ HOU · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
NYY @ NYM · -1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
PHI @ PIT · 1.5
Below internal threshold.
Edge band: Below 2% · Pass
BOS @ ATL · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
CHC @ CHW · 1.5
Near threshold but not qualified.
Edge band: 2 to 3.4% · Pass
SD @ SEA · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 3.5 to 4.4% · Filtered
MIL @ MIN · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
SF @ OAK · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
CIN @ CLE · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
KC @ STL · 1.5 FILTERED
Filtered by confidence or validation checks.
Edge band: 4.5%+ · Filtered
A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.
Early-season MLB pass rates tend to run higher (85-90%) because the model requires stable pitching, bullpen, and lineup data before generating high-confidence edges.
Related
ReportFull Market Report May 15›
ReadWhy We Pass More Than We Play›
EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings›
TeamKansas City Royals Insights›
TeamToronto Blue Jays Insights›
WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary›
Most games never qualify.
Get notified when one actually does. Selectivity is the system.
Claim Founding Spot