Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury | Model Analysis
This matchup showed a meaningful disagreement between price and projection. Whether that disagreement became an official signal depended on edge strength, confidence filters, and validation checks.
Market vs Model
Current SpreadPhoenix Mercury +6.5
Model Line+2.5
Edge Band4.5%+
StatusSignal
MarketEdge: 4.5%+
0%3.5% threshold
Key Factors
Split disadvantage for Phoenix Mercury, but the model isolates an unrelated edge.
Number drifted 1.0pts in the model's favor since open.
Result
Pending
Game has not been graded
Result and CLV will be graded after the final score is posted.
Related
ReportMarket Report Jun 17›
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TeamPhoenix Mercury Insights›
LearnWhy We Pass More Than We Play›
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