More than half the edges cleared the filter.
March 7, 2026 · Updated 2026-03-07T15:15:05.907001Z
Observation
Selectivity is part of the product. Rather than forcing action on every game, SharpPicks filters for true mispricing and leaves the rest alone. On March 7, 2026, that process resulted in 3 published signals and 3 passes.
Slate Result
-1.0u
Net · 0-1-0
-0.5
CLV Held
4 / 13
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
4 of 13
9 of 13
Top Edge · Settled
Detroit Pistons -14.0
4.5%+
Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons · BKN 107, DET 105
Model: -17.2
·
Close: -13.5
·
CLV: -0.5
Loss · -1.0u
Variance is the cost of doing business. CLV held against close.
Edge Map
BKN @ DET
+8.0%
-1.0u
ORL @ MIN
-6.4%
Final ORL 119-92 MIN
PHI @ ATL
-5.7%
Final PHI 116-125 ATL
GSW @ OKC
+5.6%
Pending
LAC @ MEM
+2.3%
Pending
UTA @ MIL
-1.1%
Pending
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 9 of 13 settled games.
BKN @ DET
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
GSW @ OKC
Open: -14.5
·
Close: -4.5
LAC @ MEM
Open: +6.0
·
Close: +3.5
UTA @ MIL
Open: -10.5
·
Close: -8.5
Near Misses
Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Los Angeles Clippers vs Memphis Grizzlies
2 to 3.4%
Edge below threshold.
Implication
Wrong side tonight. The record shows it because the record shows everything.
Sharp Principle
Variance is rent. CLV is equity.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›