Market Reports / March 8, 2026

NBA Market Report | March 8, 2026

10 games analyzed 2 signals MEI: 54

This slate produced a market efficiency score of 54, signaling a active environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.

MEI
54
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
IND @ POR
Density
20.0%
2 of 10
Passed
8
of 10
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Signal
Signal Published
Portland Trail Blazers -8.5
IND @ POR
Market
-8.5
Model
-12.4
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
IND @ POR -8.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
DAL @ TOR -9.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
DET @ MIA 1.0 2 to 3.4% SIGNAL
NYK @ LAL 3.0 2 to 3.4% PASS
BOS @ CLE -1.0 2 to 3.4% PASS
ORL @ MIL 4.0 2 to 3.4% PASS
HOU @ SAS -5.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
CHI @ SAC 2.5 Below 2% PASS
WAS @ NOP 10.5 Below 2% PASS
CHA @ PHX -4.5 Below 2% PASS
Line Movement
Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers -10.5 pts away
New York Knicks @ Los Angeles Lakers +13.0 pts toward model
Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat +15.0 pts toward model
Washington Wizards @ New Orleans Pelicans -11.5 pts away
Indiana Pacers @ Portland Trail Blazers +10.0 pts toward model
Charlotte Hornets @ Phoenix Suns -8.0 pts away
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
3-4
CLV beat
0 of 7

Every passed game on this slate represents capital preserved. Over a season, the passes matter more than the signals.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes8 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings› GameIND @ POR› GameDAL @ TOR› WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary› LearnWhy We Pass More Than We Play› TonightHow the slate played out: NBA evening edition›

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