Market Reports / March 9, 2026

NBA Market Report | March 9, 2026

5 games analyzed 3 signals MEI: 57

Most slates look efficient on the surface. On March 9, 2026, SharpPicks analyzed 5 NBA games and found only 3 signals worth sending, with 2 games falling short of the threshold.

MEI
57
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
DEN @ OKC
Density
60.0%
3 of 5
Passed
2
of 5
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Signal
Signal Published
Oklahoma City Thunder -7.0
DEN @ OKC
Market
-7.0
Model
-10.9
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

Passing is a decision, not an absence of one. These games remained below the level required for official publication.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
DEN @ OKC -7.0 4.5%+ SIGNAL
GSW @ UTA 6.0 4.5%+ SIGNAL
NYK @ LAC 2.5 3.5 to 4.4% SIGNAL
MEM @ BKN 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
PHI @ CLE 12.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
Line Movement
Philadelphia 76ers @ Cleveland Cavaliers -5.0 pts away
Memphis Grizzlies @ Brooklyn Nets +14.5 pts toward model
Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder -6.0 pts away
New York Knicks @ Los Angeles Clippers +11.0 pts toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
3-4
CLV beat
1 of 7

Every passed game on this slate represents capital preserved. Over a season, the passes matter more than the signals.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes2 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings› GameDEN @ OKC› GameGSW @ UTA› WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary› LearnWhy We Pass More Than We Play› TonightHow the slate played out: NBA evening edition›

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