Market Reports / March 10, 2026

NBA Market Report | March 10, 2026

11 games analyzed 3 signals MEI: 52

This slate produced a market efficiency score of 52, signaling a active environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.

MEI
52
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
BOS @ SAS
Density
27.0%
3 of 11
Passed
8
of 11
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Boston Celtics +3.0
BOS @ SAS
Market
3.0
Model
0.3
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
BOS @ SAS 3.0 4.5%+ SIGNAL
WAS @ MIA -15.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
DAL @ ATL -9.0 4.5%+ SIGNAL
MEM @ PHI -3.0 4.5%+ SIGNAL
TOR @ HOU -5.0 Below 2% PASS
MIN @ LAL 2.5 Below 2% PASS
IND @ SAC 3.5 Below 2% PASS
PHX @ MIL 1.0 Below 2% PASS
CHA @ POR -3.0 Below 2% PASS
DET @ BKN -15.0 Below 2% PASS
CHI @ GSW 6.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
Line Movement
Memphis Grizzlies @ Philadelphia 76ers +6.0 pts toward model
Dallas Mavericks @ Atlanta Hawks +5.0 pts toward model
Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat +7.0 pts toward model
Boston Celtics @ San Antonio Spurs -6.5 pts away
Toronto Raptors @ Houston Rockets +13.5 pts toward model
Phoenix Suns @ Milwaukee Bucks -10.5 pts away
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
3-4
CLV beat
1 of 7

Every passed game on this slate represents capital preserved. Over a season, the passes matter more than the signals.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
← Previous report Next report →
Mar 9 Mar 10 Mar 11 Mar 12 Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
Related
Passes8 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings› GameBOS @ SAS› GameWAS @ MIA› WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary› LearnWhy We Pass More Than We Play›

Only the signal layer is hidden.

Full model output. Live alerts. Bet tracking. One pick beats five.

Claim Founding Spot