Market Reports / March 11, 2026

NBA Market Report | March 11, 2026

6 games analyzed 1 signal MEI: 44

This slate produced a market efficiency score of 44, signaling a normal environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.

MEI
44
NORMAL
Top Edge
4.5%+
NYK @ UTA
Density
17.0%
1 of 6
Passed
5
of 6
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Utah Jazz +14.5
NYK @ UTA
Market
14.5
Model
9.2
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

Passing is a decision, not an absence of one. These games remained below the level required for official publication.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
NYK @ UTA 14.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
HOU @ DEN 5.5 Below 2% PASS
MIN @ LAC 1.5 Below 2% PASS
CHA @ SAC -12.5 Below 2% PASS
CLE @ ORL -3.5 Below 2% PASS
TOR @ NOP -1.5 Below 2% PASS
Line Movement
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic -7.5 pts away
New York Knicks @ Utah Jazz -4.0 pts away
Charlotte Hornets @ Sacramento Kings No movement
Houston Rockets @ Denver Nuggets -7.5 pts away
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Los Angeles Clippers -4.0 pts away
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
3-4
CLV beat
1 of 7

The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 5 games like these that you do not play.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes5 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings› GameNYK @ UTA› GameHOU @ DEN› WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary› LearnBetween the Lines: Betting from Your Phone› TonightHow the slate played out: NBA evening edition›

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