Single conviction: Utah Jazz at +8 percent while the rest stays flat.
March 11, 2026 · Updated 2026-03-11T14:15:05.750748Z
Observation
Selectivity is part of the product. Rather than forcing action on every game, SharpPicks filters for true mispricing and leaves the rest alone. On March 11, 2026, that process resulted in 1 published signal and 5 passes.
Slate Result
-1.0u
Net · 0-1-0
+0.5
CLV Held
5 / 2
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
5 of 2
-3 of 2
Top Edge · Settled
Utah Jazz +14.5
4.5%+
New York Knicks vs Utah Jazz
Model: 9.2
·
Close: 14.0
·
CLV: +0.5
Loss · -1.0u
Variance is the cost of doing business. CLV held against close.
Edge Map
NYK @ UTA
+8.0%
-1.0u
HOU @ DEN
-1.9%
Pending
MIN @ LAC
-0.8%
Pending
CHA @ SAC
-0.3%
Final CHA 109-114 SAC
CLE @ ORL
-1.3%
Final CLE 122-128 ORL
TOR @ NOP
-1.4%
Pending
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on -3 of 2 settled games.
CHA @ SAC
Open: +12.5
·
Close: +12.5
CLE @ ORL
Open: +3.0
·
Close: -4.5
HOU @ DEN
Open: -5.0
·
Close: -12.5
MIN @ LAC
Open: -2.5
·
Close: -6.5
NYK @ UTA
Open: +12.5
·
Close: +16.5
TOR @ NOP
Open: +1.5
·
Close: -17.5
Implication
Wrong side tonight. The record shows it because the record shows everything.
Sharp Principle
Every signal tracked. Nothing removed.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›