Market Reports / March 13, 2026

NBA Market Report | March 13, 2026

8 games analyzed 3 signals MEI: 53

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 3 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

MEI
53
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
CLE @ DAL
Density
38.0%
3 of 8
Passed
5
of 8
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Dallas Mavericks +13.5
CLE @ DAL
Market
13.5
Model
6.8
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

Passing is a decision, not an absence of one. These games remained below the level required for official publication.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
CLE @ DAL 13.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
MEM @ DET -15.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
MIN @ GSW 6.0 4.5%+ SIGNAL
NYK @ IND 13.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
NOP @ HOU -7.0 Below 2% PASS
PHX @ TOR 4.5 Below 2% PASS
CHI @ LAC -12.5 Below 2% PASS
UTA @ POR -14.5 Below 2% PASS
Line Movement
Memphis Grizzlies @ Detroit Pistons +4.0 pts toward model
New York Knicks @ Indiana Pacers +3.0 pts toward model
Phoenix Suns @ Toronto Raptors -3.5 pts away
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors -13.5 pts away
Utah Jazz @ Portland Trail Blazers -3.0 pts away
Chicago Bulls @ Los Angeles Clippers -1.0 pts away
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
2-5
CLV beat
2 of 7

Every passed game on this slate represents capital preserved. Over a season, the passes matter more than the signals.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes5 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings› GameCLE @ DAL› GameMEM @ DET› WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary› LearnEdge Calculator›

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