Balanced board with 2 signals and no clear bias.
March 8, 2026 · Updated 2026-03-08T14:15:05.666292Z
Observation
The model reviewed 10 NBA games on March 8, 2026 and found 2 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 2 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.
Slate Result
+0.9u
Net · 1-0-0
+1.0
CLV Held
9 / 6
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
9 of 6
-3 of 6
Top Edge · Settled
Portland Trail Blazers -8.5
4.5%+
Indiana Pacers vs Portland Trail Blazers
Model: -12.4
·
Close: -9.5
·
CLV: +1.0
Win · +0.9u
Signal cleared. The model's read held against close.
Edge Map
IND @ POR
+8.0%
+0.9u
DAL @ TOR
+3.5%
Final DAL 92-122 TOR
DET @ MIA
+3.4%
Final DET 110-121 MIA
NYK @ LAL
+3.3%
Final NYK 97-110 LAL
BOS @ CLE
+2.8%
Final BOS 109-98 CLE
ORL @ MIL
+2.3%
Final ORL 99-113 MIL
HOU @ SAS
+2.1%
Pending
CHI @ SAC
+0.2%
Pending
WAS @ NOP
-0.5%
Final WAS 118-138 NOP
CHA @ PHX
-0.9%
Pending
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on -3 of 6 settled games.
IND @ POR
Open: -8.5
·
Close: -18.5
BOS @ CLE
Open: -1.0
·
Close: +9.5
CHA @ PHX
Open: +4.5
·
Close: -3.5
CHI @ SAC
Open: +3.0
·
Close: -12.5
DAL @ TOR
Open: -10.0
·
Close: -31.5
DET @ MIA
Open: +1.5
·
Close: -13.5
Near Misses
Dallas Mavericks vs Toronto Raptors
3.5 to 4.4%
Edge below threshold.
New York Knicks vs Los Angeles Lakers
2 to 3.4%
Edge below threshold.
Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers
2 to 3.4%
Edge below threshold.
Implication
A green night. The grade that counts is still the closing line.
Sharp Principle
Process first. Results follow or they do not.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›