Market Reports / May 9, 2026 / Evening Edition

WNBA Slate Recap | May 9, 2026

4 games analyzed 3 signals Net: -1.0u
Slate Recap · Sharp Journal · Evening Edition · 2 min read

More than half the edges cleared the filter.

May 9, 2026 · Updated 2026-05-09T14:02:10.111896Z
Evan Cole · Head of Signal Intelligence
Observation

The model reviewed 4 WNBA games on May 9, 2026 and found 3 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 3 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.

Slate Result
-1.0u
Net · 0-1-0
+0.5
CLV Held
4 / 4
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient Model edge
4 of 4 0 of 4
Top Edge · Settled
Portland Fire +5.5 4.5%+
Chicago Sky vs Portland Fire · CHI 98, Portland Fire 83
Model: -2.4 · Close: 5.0 · CLV: +0.5
Loss · -1.0u
Variance is the cost of doing business. CLV held against close.
Edge Map
CHI @ Portland Fire +8.0%
-1.0u
ATL @ MIN +7.2%
Final ATL 91-90 MIN
DAL @ IND +5.3%
Final DAL 107-104 IND
PHO @ LVA +0.2%
Final PHO 99-66 LVA
Closing Line Audit

Market closed within model fair value on 0 of 4 settled games.

ATL @ MIN
Open: +2.5 · Close: +4.5
Market efficient
CHI @ Portland Fire
Open: +4.5 · Close: +5.5
Market efficient
DAL @ IND
Open: -6.5 · Close: -5.5
Market efficient
PHO @ LVA
Open: -7.5 · Close: +13.5
Market efficient
Implication
Wrong side tonight. The record shows it because the record shows everything.
Sharp Principle

Nothing removed. Ever.

How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›
›
Recent performance ยท WNBA

Recent sample below reporting threshold. Figures publish once 7 signals are graded.

The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 1 games like these that you do not play.

Common Questions
What is CLV?
Closing Line Value measures whether the price you got on a bet was better than the closing line. Positive CLV correlates with long-term profitability. The evening edition reports CLV against the closing line and against model fair value separately.
Why no red L badges on losses?
Outcomes are reported without color-coded punishment. A loss is a data point, not a failure. The framework holds when every signal is verified and every pass is documented, regardless of how any single result fell.
What is a pass day?
A pass day is a slate where the model issued zero signals. Pass days are not missed opportunities. They are the system refusing to manufacture signals where the data does not support them.
This Week's Reports
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May 4 May 5 May 6 May 7 May 8 May 9 May 10
Related
Passes1 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's WNBA edge rankings› GameCHI @ Portland Fire› GameATL @ MIN› WeeklyWNBA Weekly Summary› LearnBeginner's Guide to Sports Betting› MorningHow the morning called it: WNBA market report›

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