Market Reports / May 9, 2026

WNBA Market Report | May 9, 2026

4 games analyzed 3 signals MEI: 60

The model reviewed 4 WNBA games on May 9, 2026 and found 3 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 3 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.

MEI
60
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
CHI @ Portland Fire
Density
75.0%
3 of 4
Passed
1
of 4
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Signal
Signal Published
Portland Fire +5.5
CHI @ Portland Fire
Market
5.5
Model
-2.4
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
CHI @ Portland Fire 5.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
ATL @ MIN 4.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
DAL @ IND -5.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
PHO @ LVA -9.5 Below 2% PASS
Line Movement
Dallas Wings @ Indiana Fever -1.0 pts away
Atlanta Dream @ Minnesota Lynx -2.0 pts away
Chicago Sky @ Portland Fire -1.0 pts away
Recent performance ยท WNBA

Recent sample below reporting threshold. Figures publish once 7 signals are graded.

Most bettors would have played 3 to 5 games on this slate. SharpPicks found 3. The gap between those two numbers is where edge lives.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes1 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's WNBA edge rankings› GameCHI @ Portland Fire› GameATL @ MIN› WeeklyWNBA Weekly Summary› LearnWhy We Pass More Than We Play› TonightHow the slate played out: WNBA evening edition›

Only the signal layer is hidden.

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