WNBA Market Report | May 8, 2026
The model reviewed 3 WNBA games on May 8, 2026 and found 2 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 1 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.
MEI
48
NORMAL
Top Edge
4.5%+
WAS @ Toronto Tempo
Density
33.0%
1 of 3
Passed
2
of 3
Signal
Signal Published
Toronto Tempo +1.5
Market
1.5
Model
-4.3
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL
A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.
Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
WAS @ Toronto Tempo
1.5
4.5%+
SIGNAL
GSV @ SEA
5.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
CON @ NYL
-10.5
Below 2%
PASS
Line Movement
Connecticut Sun @ New York Liberty
-6.0 pts away
Washington Mystics @ Toronto Tempo
No movement
Golden State Valkyries @ Seattle Storm
-1.0 pts away
Recent performance ยท WNBA
Recent sample below reporting threshold. Figures publish once 7 signals are graded.
The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 2 games like these that you do not play.
Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
Related
Passes2 games the model passed on›
EdgesToday's WNBA edge rankings›
GameWAS @ Toronto Tempo›
GameGSV @ SEA›
WeeklyWNBA Weekly Summary›
LearnThe Real Cost of a Bad Bet›
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