WNBA Market Report | May 13, 2026
This slate produced a market efficiency score of 15, signaling a quiet environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.
MEI
15
QUIET
Top Edge
2 to 3.4%
CHI @ GSV
Density
0.0%
0 of 4
Passed
4
of 4
Signal
No Signal Today
Full slate passed
Most games never become signals. That is usually a sign of market efficiency, not a missed opportunity.
Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
CHI @ GSV
5.5
2 to 3.4%
PASS
LVA @ CON
14.5
Below 2%
PASS
SEA @ Toronto Tempo
-3.5
Below 2%
PASS
IND @ LAS
-1.5
Below 2%
PASS
Line Movement
Indiana Fever @ Los Angeles Sparks
-1.0 pts away
Seattle Storm @ Toronto Tempo
No movement
Las Vegas Aces @ Connecticut Sun
-1.0 pts away
Chicago Sky @ Golden State Valkyries
-1.0 pts away
Recent performance ยท WNBA
Recent sample below reporting threshold. Figures publish once 7 signals are graded.
The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 4 games like these that you do not play.
Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
Related
Passes4 games the model passed on›
EdgesToday's WNBA edge rankings›
GameCHI @ GSV›
GameLVA @ CON›
WeeklyWNBA Weekly Summary›
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