Slate Recap · Sharp Journal · Evening Edition · 2 min read

More than half the edges cleared the filter.

Observation

Selectivity is part of the product. Rather than forcing action on every game, SharpPicks filters for true mispricing and leaves the rest alone. On May 14, 2026, that process resulted in 1 published signal and 1 passes.

Slate Result
+0.9u
Net · 1-0-0
+0.0
CLV Held
1 / 2
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient Model edge
1 of 2 1 of 2
Top Edge · Settled
Minnesota Lynx +3.5 4.5%+
Minnesota Lynx vs Dallas Wings · MIN 90, DAL 86
Model: -0.8 · Close: -3.5 · CLV: +0.0
Win · +0.9u
Signal cleared. The model's read held against close.
Edge Map
MIN @ DAL -8.0%
+0.9u
NYL @ Portland Fire +8.0%
Final NYL 100-82 Portland Fire
Closing Line Audit

Market closed within model fair value on 1 of 2 settled games.

MIN @ DAL
Open: -3.5 · Close: -3.5
Model edge
NYL @ Portland Fire
Open: +11.5 · Close: +11.5
Market efficient
Near Misses
New York Liberty vs Portland Fire 4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
A green night. The grade that counts is still the closing line.
Sharp Principle

The math does not celebrate.

How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›
Recent performance ยท WNBA

Recent sample below reporting threshold. Figures publish once 7 signals are graded.

The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 1 games like these that you do not play.

Common Questions
What is CLV?
Closing Line Value measures whether the price you got on a bet was better than the closing line. Positive CLV correlates with long-term profitability. The evening edition reports CLV against the closing line and against model fair value separately.
Why no red L badges on losses?
Outcomes are reported without color-coded punishment. A loss is a data point, not a failure. The framework holds when every signal is verified and every pass is documented, regardless of how any single result fell.
What is a pass day?
A pass day is a slate where the model issued zero signals. Pass days are not missed opportunities. They are the system refusing to manufacture signals where the data does not support them.
This Week's Reports
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May 11 May 12 May 13 May 14 May 15 May 16 May 17
Related
Passes1 games the model passed on EdgesToday's WNBA edge rankings GameMIN @ DAL GameNYL @ Portland Fire WeeklyWNBA Weekly Summary LearnEdge Calculator MorningHow the morning called it: WNBA market report

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