NBA Market Report | May 18, 2026
This slate produced a market efficiency score of 14, signaling a quiet environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.
MEI
14
QUIET
Top Edge
2 to 3.4%
SAS @ OKC
Density
0.0%
0 of 1
Passed
1
of 1
Signal
No Signal Today
Full slate passed
A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.
Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
SAS @ OKC
6.5
2 to 3.4%
PASS
Line Movement
San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder
+13.0 pts toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
4-3
CLV beat
2 of 7
The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 1 games like these that you do not play.
Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Passes1 games the model passed on›
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