WNBA Market Report | May 21, 2026
The model reviewed 3 WNBA games on May 21, 2026 and found 1 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 0 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.
MEI
22
QUIET
Top Edge
3.5 to 4.4%
Toronto Tempo @ MIN
Density
0.0%
0 of 3
Passed
3
of 3
Signal
No Signal Today
Full slate passed
Efficient markets create fewer mistakes to exploit. On slates like this one, the strongest move is often restraint.
Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
Toronto Tempo @ MIN
-6.5
3.5 to 4.4%
FILTERED
LAS @ PHO
-3.5
Below 2%
PASS
GSV @ NYL
7.5
2 to 3.4%
PASS
Line Movement
Golden State Valkyries @ New York Liberty
+1.0 pts toward model
Toronto Tempo @ Minnesota Lynx
-1.0 pts away
Los Angeles Sparks @ Phoenix Mercury
+1.0 pts toward model
Recent performance ยท WNBA
Recent sample below reporting threshold. Figures publish once 7 signals are graded.
The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 3 games like these that you do not play.
Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
Related
Passes3 games the model passed on›
EdgesToday's WNBA edge rankings›
GameToronto Tempo @ MIN›
GameGSV @ NYL›
WeeklyWNBA Weekly Summary›
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