WNBA Market Report | May 29, 2026
The model reviewed 4 WNBA games on May 29, 2026 and found 2 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 1 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.
MEI
42
NORMAL
Top Edge
4.5%+
LAS @ WAS
Density
25.0%
1 of 4
Passed
3
of 4
Signal
Signal Published
Los Angeles Sparks +2.5
Market
2.5
Model
-1.5
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL
SharpPicks treats discipline as part of the edge. When projected value stays below the qualification line, the game is logged as a pass rather than forced into action.
Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
LAS @ WAS
2.5
4.5%+
SIGNAL
ATL @ Portland Fire
8.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
MIN @ CHI
-4.5
Below 2%
PASS
PHO @ NYL
6.5
Below 2%
PASS
Line Movement
Minnesota Lynx @ Chicago Sky
+1.0 pts toward model
Los Angeles Sparks @ Washington Mystics
No movement
Phoenix Mercury @ New York Liberty
+1.0 pts toward model
Atlanta Dream @ Portland Fire
+2.0 pts toward model
Recent performance ยท WNBA
Recent sample below reporting threshold. Figures publish once 7 signals are graded.
Every passed game on this slate represents capital preserved. Over a season, the passes matter more than the signals.
Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
Related
Passes3 games the model passed on›
EdgesToday's WNBA edge rankings›
GameLAS @ WAS›
GameATL @ Portland Fire›
WeeklyWNBA Weekly Summary›
LearnWhy We Pass More Than We Play›
Only the signal layer is hidden.
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