Slate Recap · Sharp Journal · Evening Edition · 2 min read

Value sitting with the underdogs tonight. 3 signals, mostly dogs.

Observation

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 9 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

Slate Result
+1.0u
Net · 1-0-0
+0.0
CLV Held
10 / 15
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient Model edge
10 of 15 5 of 15
Top Edge · Settled
Colorado Rockies +1.5 4.5%+
Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies · CHC 2, COL 3
Model: -0.1 · Close: 1.5 · CLV: +0.0
Win · +1.0u
Signal cleared. The model's read held against close.
Edge Map
CHC @ COL +12.0%
+1.0u
ATL @ CHW -11.7%
Final ATL 1-2 CHW
PHI @ TOR -9.7%
Final PHI 7-4 TOR
TEX @ KC -7.8%
Final TEX 6-4 KC
MIN @ DET -7.0%
Final MIN 6-4 DET
HOU @ LAA -6.8%
Final HOU 2-2 LAA
CIN @ SD -3.8%
Final CIN 4-5 SD
LAD @ PIT +2.8%
Final LAD 8-9 PIT
BOS @ TB -2.2%
Final BOS 5-7 TB
MIL @ OAK +0.2%
Final MIL 3-4 OAK
STL @ NYM -1.2%
Final STL 9-2 NYM
WAS @ SF +2.2%
Final WAS 10-11 SF
SEA @ BAL +9.9%
Final SEA 2-7 BAL
ARI @ MIA +12.0%
Final ARI 0-8 MIA
NYY @ CLE +15.3%
Final NYY 8-4 CLE
Closing Line Audit

Market closed within model fair value on 5 of 15 settled games.

ARI @ MIA
Open: +1.5 · Close: +1.5
Model edge
CHC @ COL
Open: +1.5 · Close: +1.5
Model edge
LAD @ PIT
Open: +1.5 · Close: +1.5
Model edge
NYY @ CLE
Open: +1.5 · Close: +1.5
Model edge
SEA @ BAL
Open: +1.5 · Close: +1.5
Model edge
ATL @ CHW
Open: +1.5 · Close: +1.5
Market efficient
Near Misses
New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians 4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins 4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles 4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
A green night. The grade that counts is still the closing line.
Sharp Principle

Every signal tracked. Nothing removed.

How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
3-4
CLV beat
6 of 7

This slate had 15 games. A typical bettor might scan all of them and find reasons to play half. SharpPicks qualified 3. Selectivity compounds.

Common Questions
What is CLV?
Closing Line Value measures whether the price you got on a bet was better than the closing line. Positive CLV correlates with long-term profitability. The evening edition reports CLV against the closing line and against model fair value separately.
Why no red L badges on losses?
Outcomes are reported without color-coded punishment. A loss is a data point, not a failure. The framework holds when every signal is verified and every pass is documented, regardless of how any single result fell.
What is a pass day?
A pass day is a slate where the model issued zero signals. Pass days are not missed opportunities. They are the system refusing to manufacture signals where the data does not support them.
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Related
Passes12 games the model passed on EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings GameNYY @ CLE GameCHC @ COL WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary LearnCLV Calculator MorningHow the morning called it: MLB market report

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