Market Reports / June 12, 2026

MLB Market Report | June 12, 2026

15 games analyzed 3 signals MEI: 79

Most slates look efficient on the surface. On June 12, 2026, SharpPicks analyzed 15 MLB games and found only 3 signals worth sending, with 12 games falling short of the threshold.

MEI
79
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
ARI @ CIN
Density
20.0%
3 of 15
Passed
12
of 15
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
DET @ CLE
Market
1.5
Model
0.9
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

Efficient markets create fewer mistakes to exploit. On slates like this one, the strongest move is often restraint.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
DET @ CLE 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
NYY @ TOR -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
PHI @ MIL 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
CHC @ SF 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
COL @ OAK 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
TB @ LAA -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
ATL @ NYM 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
LAD @ CHW 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
MIA @ PIT 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
STL @ MIN 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SEA @ WAS 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SD @ BAL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
HOU @ KC 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
TEX @ BOS 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
ARI @ CIN 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates -0.3 pp away
Seattle Mariners @ Washington Nationals No movement
San Diego Padres @ Baltimore Orioles +2.2 pp toward model
Texas Rangers @ Boston Red Sox +0.4 pp toward model
Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians +0.8 pp toward model
Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets -1.9 pp away
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
4-3
CLV beat
5 of 7

This slate had 15 games. A typical bettor might scan all of them and find reasons to play half. SharpPicks qualified 3. Selectivity compounds.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes12 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameARI @ CIN› GameTEX @ BOS› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnWhy We Pass More Than We Play› TonightHow the slate played out: MLB evening edition›

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