Underdogs carrying the value. 13 of 15 edges on dogs.
June 12, 2026 · Updated 2026-06-12T16:13:54.965177Z
Observation
Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 12 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.
Slate Result
+1.6u
Net · 1-0-0
+0.0
CLV Held
8 / 15
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
8 of 15
7 of 15
Top Edge · Settled
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
4.5%+
Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians · DET 2, CLE 3
Model: 0.9
·
Close: 1.5
·
CLV: +0.0
Win · +1.6u
Signal cleared. The model's read held against close.
Edge Map
DET @ CLE
+12.0%
+1.6u
NYY @ TOR
-12.0%
Final NYY 5-8 TOR
PHI @ MIL
-12.0%
Final PHI 0-6 MIL
CHC @ SF
-12.0%
Final CHC 5-0 SF
COL @ OAK
-7.9%
Final COL 0-2 OAK
TB @ LAA
-6.1%
Final TB 2-4 LAA
ATL @ NYM
-3.6%
Final ATL 5-7 NYM
LAD @ CHW
+2.3%
Final LAD 2-8 CHW
MIA @ PIT
-3.2%
Final MIA 8-3 PIT
STL @ MIN
-5.1%
Final STL 8-9 MIN
SEA @ WAS
+5.9%
Final SEA 10-2 WAS
SD @ BAL
-6.0%
Final SD 3-7 BAL
HOU @ KC
+11.8%
Final HOU 10-8 KC
TEX @ BOS
-13.3%
Final TEX 1-10 BOS
ARI @ CIN
+13.7%
Final ARI 5-2 CIN
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 7 of 15 settled games.
ARI @ CIN
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
DET @ CLE
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
HOU @ KC
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
LAD @ CHW
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
SEA @ WAS
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
ATL @ NYM
Open: +1.5
·
Close: -1.5
Near Misses
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
The board paid. The process is why.
Sharp Principle
Graded on the close, not the final score.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›