Market Reports / June 13, 2026

MLB Market Report | June 13, 2026

15 games analyzed 4 signals MEI: 85

Most slates look efficient on the surface. On June 13, 2026, SharpPicks analyzed 15 MLB games and found only 4 signals worth sending, with 11 games falling short of the threshold.

MEI
85
RARE INEFFICIENCY
Top Edge
4.5%+
TEX @ BOS
Density
27.0%
4 of 15
Passed
11
of 15
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
San Diego Padres +1.5
SD @ BAL
Market
1.5
Model
0.4
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

SharpPicks treats discipline as part of the edge. When projected value stays below the qualification line, the game is logged as a pass rather than forced into action.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
NYY @ TOR -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SD @ BAL 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
SEA @ WAS -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
ATL @ NYM 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
TB @ LAA -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
MIA @ PIT -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
LAD @ CHW 1.5 Below 2% PASS
COL @ OAK 1.5 Below 2% PASS
ARI @ CIN 1.5 Below 2% PASS
DET @ CLE 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
HOU @ KC 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
PHI @ MIL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
STL @ MIN 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CHC @ SF 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
TEX @ BOS 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays -7.7 pp away
San Diego Padres @ Baltimore Orioles +19.8 pp toward model
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds -6.9 pp away
Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets +9.6 pp toward model
Texas Rangers @ Boston Red Sox +5.1 pp toward model
Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians -2.8 pp away
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
4-3
CLV beat
5 of 7

Every passed game on this slate represents capital preserved. Over a season, the passes matter more than the signals.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes11 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameTEX @ BOS› GameNYY @ TOR› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnThe Real Cost of a Bad Bet› TonightHow the slate played out: MLB evening edition›

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