MLB / July 11, 2026

Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers | Model Analysis

July 11, 2026 Signal Published Indexed

SharpPicks identified a measurable gap between the market line and the internal projection for this matchup. The difference was large enough to put the game on the radar, though publication status depended on the full qualification process.

Market vs Model
Current SpreadHouston Astros +1.5
Model Line-0.9
Edge Band4.5%+
StatusSignal
MarketEdge: 4.5%+
0%4.5% threshold
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Key Factors
14-day pen ERA: Texas Rangers's relievers 2.82 runs worse than Houston Astros's. Significant.
Number got worse by 3.0pts post-open; the model still clears the price.
Result
Pending
Game has not been graded
Result and CLV will be graded after the final score is posted.
Related
ReportMarket Report Jul 11› TeamHouston Astros Insights› TeamTexas Rangers Insights› LearnWhy We Pass More Than We Play› ToolCLV Calculator›

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