Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox | Model Analysis
Not every pricing gap becomes a signal. This page tracks how the model viewed the matchup, how the market moved, and how the setup ultimately graded out.
Market vs Model
Current SpreadHouston Astros +1.5
Model Line+0.5
Edge Band4.5%+
StatusSignal
MarketEdge: 4.5%+
0%4.5% threshold
Key Factors
Park factor: Boston Red Sox plays in a hitter-friendly park (factor: 1.08). Affects run expectation.
Model edge: +6.0% above the qualification threshold. Ensemble consensus across all four models.
Line moved 3.0 points toward model since open. The market is catching up to what the model saw earlier.
Result
Pending
Game has not been graded
Result and CLV will be graded after the final score is posted.
Related
ReportMarket Report May 2›
TeamHouston Astros Insights›
TeamBoston Red Sox Insights›
LearnThe Real Cost of a Bad Bet›
ToolCLV Calculator›
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