MLB / April 18, 2026

Toronto Blue Jays vs Arizona Diamondbacks | Model Analysis

April 18, 2026 Signal Published Indexed

Not every pricing gap becomes a signal. This page tracks how the model viewed the matchup, how the market moved, and how the setup ultimately graded out.

Market vs Model
Current SpreadToronto Blue Jays +1.5
Model Line+0.2
Edge Band4.5%+
StatusSignal
MarketEdge: 4.5%+
0%4.5% threshold
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Key Factors
Park factor: Arizona Diamondbacks plays in a hitter-friendly park (factor: 1.12). Affects run expectation.
Model edge: +6.0% above the qualification threshold. Ensemble consensus across all four models.
Line moved 3.0 points toward model since open. The market is catching up to what the model saw earlier.
Result
Pending
Game has not been graded
Result and CLV will be graded after the final score is posted.
Related
ReportMarket Report Apr 18› TeamToronto Blue Jays Insights› TeamArizona Diamondbacks Insights› LearnThe Real Cost of a Bad Bet› ToolCLV Calculator›

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