Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres | Model Analysis
This matchup showed a meaningful disagreement between price and projection. Whether that disagreement became an official signal depended on edge strength, confidence filters, and validation checks.
Market vs Model
Current SpreadSeattle Mariners -1.5
Model Line-2.4
Edge Band4.5%+
StatusSignal
MarketEdge: 4.5%+
0%4.5% threshold
Key Factors
Park factor: San Diego Padres plays in a pitcher-friendly park (factor: 0.93). Affects run expectation.
Model edge: +6.0% above the qualification threshold. Ensemble consensus across all four models.
Market is pricing this game with tight consensus across books. Model sees a gap the market hasn't corrected.
Result
Pending
Game has not been graded
Result and CLV will be graded after the final score is posted.
Related
ReportMarket Report Apr 14›
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TeamSan Diego Padres Insights›
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