Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals | Model Analysis
This matchup showed a meaningful disagreement between price and projection. Whether that disagreement became an official signal depended on edge strength, confidence filters, and validation checks.
Market vs Model
Current SpreadPhiladelphia Phillies +1.5
Model Line-0.2
Edge Band4.5%+
StatusSignal
MarketEdge: 4.5%+
0%4.5% threshold
Key Factors
Pen fatigue gap: Washington Nationals much heavier workload than Philadelphia Phillies. Late-game edge.
Number got worse by 3.0pts post-open; the model still clears the price.
Result
Pending
Game has not been graded
Result and CLV will be graded after the final score is posted.
Related
ReportMarket Report Jun 22›
TeamPhiladelphia Phillies Insights›
TeamWashington Nationals Insights›
LearnBeginner's Guide to Sports Betting›
ToolCLV Calculator›
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