Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets | Model Analysis
Not every pricing gap becomes a signal. This page tracks how the model viewed the matchup, how the market moved, and how the setup ultimately graded out.
Market vs Model
Current SpreadPittsburgh Pirates +1.5
Model Line-1.7
Edge Band4.5%+
StatusSignal
MarketEdge: 4.5%+
0%4.5% threshold
Key Factors
Underdog value: Pittsburgh Pirates at +160 — model sees 77% win probability vs implied 38%
Run line stable: opened -1.5, current -1.5 — market consensus intact
Market pricing gap: Pittsburgh Pirates at +160 — model sees value the market has not fully corrected
Result
Pending
Game has not been graded
Result and CLV will be graded after the final score is posted.
Related
ReportMarket Report Mar 29›
TeamPittsburgh Pirates Insights›
TeamNew York Mets Insights›
LearnBetween the Lines: Betting from Your Phone›
ToolCLV Calculator›
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