Las Vegas Aces vs Washington Mystics | Model Analysis
Not every pricing gap becomes a signal. This page tracks how the model viewed the matchup, how the market moved, and how the setup ultimately graded out.
Market vs Model
Current SpreadWashington Mystics +6.5
Model Line-0.5
Edge Band4.5%+
StatusSignal
MarketEdge: 4.5%+
0%3.5% threshold
Key Factors
Defensive weakness: Las Vegas Aces allows 86.5 PPG (+5.3 vs avg)
Both teams on back-to-back, rest neutral
Number got worse by 1.0pts post-open; the model still clears the price.
Result
Pending
Game has not been graded
Result and CLV will be graded after the final score is posted.
Related
ReportMarket Report Jul 22›
TeamLas Vegas Aces Insights›
TeamWashington Mystics Insights›
LearnThe Real Cost of a Bad Bet›
ToolCLV Calculator›
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