Market Reports / July 22, 2026

WNBA Market Report | July 22, 2026

6 games analyzed 3 signals MEI: 60

Selectivity is part of the product. Rather than forcing action on every game, SharpPicks filters for true mispricing and leaves the rest alone. On July 22, 2026, that process resulted in 3 published signals and 3 passes.

MEI
60
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
PHO @ LAS
Density
50.0%
3 of 6
Passed
3
of 6
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Signal
Signal Published
Los Angeles Sparks -2.5
PHO @ LAS
Market
-2.5
Model
-9.1
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

Most games never become signals. That is usually a sign of market efficiency, not a missed opportunity.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
PHO @ LAS -2.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
LVA @ WAS 6.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
CHI @ NYL -7.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
MIN @ SEA 10.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
DAL @ Portland Fire 5.5 Below 2% PASS
CON @ IND 10.5 Below 2% PASS
Line Movement
Phoenix Mercury @ Los Angeles Sparks -5.0 pts away
Minnesota Lynx @ Seattle Storm +5.0 pts toward model
Chicago Sky @ New York Liberty -4.0 pts away
Las Vegas Aces @ Washington Mystics -1.0 pts away
Connecticut Sun @ Indiana Fever +1.0 pts toward model
Dallas Wings @ Portland Fire No movement
Recent performance ยท WNBA

Recent sample below reporting threshold. Figures publish once 7 signals are graded.

Most bettors would have played 3 to 5 games on this slate. SharpPicks found 3. The gap between those two numbers is where edge lives.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes3 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's WNBA edge rankings› GamePHO @ LAS› GameLVA @ WAS› WeeklyWNBA Weekly Summary› LearnCLV Calculator› TonightHow the slate played out: WNBA evening edition›

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