Las Vegas Aces vs Portland Fire | Model Analysis
This matchup showed a meaningful disagreement between price and projection. Whether that disagreement became an official signal depended on edge strength, confidence filters, and validation checks.
Market vs Model
Current SpreadPortland Fire +9.5
Model Line+4.8
Edge Band4.5%+
StatusSignal
MarketEdge: 4.5%+
0%3.5% threshold
Key Factors
Matchup: Portland Fire 80.0 PPG vs Las Vegas Aces DEF 80.0 PPG allowed
Line stable: opened +9.5, current +9.5, market consensus intact
Result
Did Not Cover
LVA 105 – Portland Fire 89 · Final
CLV: -2.0 points
After the game closed, this matchup was graded as Did not cover. Closing line value came in at -2.0, which helps show whether the number moved toward or away from the model before tip-off.
Related
ReportMarket Report Jun 11›
TeamLas Vegas Aces Insights›
TeamPortland Fire Insights›
LearnBeginner's Guide to Sports Betting›
ToolCLV Calculator›
This qualified. See all signals live.
SharpPicks members get real-time alerts and full model transparency.
Claim Founding Spot