Market Reports / June 11, 2026

WNBA Market Report | June 11, 2026

4 games analyzed 2 signals MEI: 52

Selectivity is part of the product. Rather than forcing action on every game, SharpPicks filters for true mispricing and leaves the rest alone. On June 11, 2026, that process resulted in 2 published signals and 2 passes.

MEI
52
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
LVA @ Portland Fire
Density
50.0%
2 of 4
Passed
2
of 4
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Signal
Signal Published
Portland Fire +9.5
LVA @ Portland Fire
Market
9.5
Model
4.8
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
LVA @ Portland Fire 9.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
PHO @ DAL 7.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
CHI @ IND 9.5 Below 2% PASS
NYL @ ATL -4.5 Below 2% PASS
Line Movement
Chicago Sky @ Indiana Fever No movement
New York Liberty @ Atlanta Dream +2.0 pts toward model
Phoenix Mercury @ Dallas Wings -2.0 pts away
Las Vegas Aces @ Portland Fire -1.0 pts away
Recent performance ยท WNBA

Recent sample below reporting threshold. Figures publish once 7 signals are graded.

Most bettors would have played 3 to 5 games on this slate. SharpPicks found 2. The gap between those two numbers is where edge lives.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes2 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's WNBA edge rankings› GameLVA @ Portland Fire› GamePHO @ DAL› WeeklyWNBA Weekly Summary› LearnWhy We Pass More Than We Play› TonightHow the slate played out: WNBA evening edition›

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